Is Forecasting Future Suicide Rates Possible? Application of the Experience Curve
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Forecasting road fatalities by the use of kinked experience curve
According to the World Health Organization, more than one million road traffic deaths occur every year throughout the world. In order to cope with this challenge, many countries have established quantified road safety targets backed up with comprehensive safety strategies. Road safety targets need to be based on reliable forecasting methods. Following the pioneering work by Elvik (2010), this p...
متن کاملForecasting the future: is it possible for adiabatically time-varying nonlinear dynamical systems?
Nonlinear dynamical systems in reality are often under environmental influences that are time-dependent. To assess whether such a system can perform as desired or as designed and is sustainable requires forecasting its future states and attractors based solely on time series. We propose a viable solution to this challenging problem by resorting to the compressive-sensing paradigm. In particular...
متن کاملrhetoric on “the end of capitalism” - the possibility of forecasting the future and the possible scenarios of capitalism
according to the classical economists such as ricardo, labour was considered as the only factor of production; while capital, realized in machinery, tools and the like was identified as the accumulated labour and that inferior lands can be exploited due to the use of labour on them. but, in the long run development of capitalism in the western countries, this idea, i.e. labour as the base of pr...
متن کاملGood sequential probability forecasting is always possible
Building on the game-theoretic framework for probability, we show that it is possible, using randomization, to make sequential probability forecasts that will pass any given battery of statistical tests. This result, an easy consequence of von Neumann’s minimax theorem, simplifies and generalizes work by earlier authors.
متن کاملThe Australian experience of advance directives and possible future directions
This paper analyses the role that advance directives can play in the formation of advanced care planning. Following on from a review of the legal history of advance directives in Australia, including the common law and statutory regimes, it is argued that schemes for advance directives have not yet proven to be successful. It is proposed that what is needed is a more integrated approach, whereb...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Engineering Management Research
سال: 2012
ISSN: 1927-7326,1927-7318
DOI: 10.5539/emr.v1n1p77